The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck. By David Spiegelhalter. Pelican; 512 pages; £22. To be published in America by W.W. Norton in March; $32.99 A hazard of ...

Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

"No matter how much confusion or uncertainty we experience--even in sickness or danger..." by English artist Elizabeth Wang, 2005. Private collection. Source ...