Our Global Investment strategists argue that AI threatens the traditional profit engines of large technology firms despite ...

Want to stay long stocks? Watch the 10-year yield. If we are not under 4% by the end of the year, stocks will suffer.

Marko PapicChief Strategist, Access & GeoMacromarko@bcaresearch.com ...

Everyone has opinions on Private Credit, but few have the data, and fewer have the objectivity. We give you both. In under 5 minutes, you will understand how we got here and, more importantly, how to ...

Europe’s fiscal debate has resurfaced as interest rates normalize and new spending pressures emerge. Yet alarmism is misplaced. Aggregate debt levels are high but broadly stable, servicing costs ...

The oil supply disruption has flipped market sentiment from risk-on to risk-off. How long will this defensive phase last, and how severe will the drawdown be? We caution against trying to catch a ...

US assets have underperformed year-to-date, but BCA views differ on the tactical versus 12-month outlook. Since the start of the year, US markets have lagged the rest of the world, largely driven by ...

Iran doesn’t need to sink a single US warship; it could inflict much more damage by sinking the US stock and bond markets by disrupting shipping, trade, and oil tankers with decentralised low-tech ...

A global macro strategy which uniquely synthesizes macroeconomics with psychology, behavioural finance, non-linear systems, complexity, and fractal analysis.

Forex has garnered a reputation with investors as the black sheep of asset classes. Academic studies corroborate this view.1 Yet FX markets remain one of the most important asset classes in the world, ...

The financial industry’s premier geopolitical research. We use hard data to calculate scenario probabilities and market impacts for geopolitical risks and opportunities. Ukraine’s economy is small but ...