The Weather-Adjusted Employment Change data page provides estimates of monthly weather-adjusted employment changes in the United States. Starting with the official Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ...

Economic activity in the Twelfth District slowed slightly during the January through mid-February reporting period. Overall ...

AI adoption and use are still evolving, and the technology itself is changing rapidly. What we know about AI and its impact ...

Revisions to Payroll Employment Gains in Historical Context visualizes a monthly assessment of volatility in U.S. payroll employment data based on revisions from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Recessions are periods where the labor market deteriorates rapidly. Supporting business conditions to prevent such deterioration is a core objective of policymakers. In this paper we construct a labor ...

Mark M. Spiegel, senior policy adviser at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook from the Economic Research Department as of February 26, 2026.

The fraction of men working in the United States has declined consistently since the 1950s. This has contributed to slower labor force growth and resulted in considerable gaps between labor force ...

Congratulations to our very own Òscar Jordà for being newly elected as a Fellow of the Econometric Society. This ...

Robert G. Valletta is senior vice president and associate director of research in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

In this paper we exploit 150 years of tariff policy in the US and abroad to estimate the short-run effects of tariff shocks on macro aggregates. A careful review of the major changes in US tariff ...

Internal migration has been cited as a key channel by which societies will adapt to climate change. We show in this paper that this process has already been happening in the United States. Over the ...