One of the most difficult times to make ethical decisions is when there is great uncertainty about what the best decision is, or how to go about achieving that best end. Here I will present six ...

Seems like everything these days is COVID-19. Recently the editor of the Journal of Business Forecasting asked me to write an article on demand planning under uncertainty.* Initially it sounded ...

This post is part of the Health Affairs Forefront short series, “Value Assessment: Where Do We Go Post-COVID?” The series explores what we have learned about value assessment and related issues during ...

We make decisions every day, many of which are so straightforward that we hardly notice we are making them. But we tend to struggle when faced with decisions that have uncertain outcomes, such as ...

Business schools and other professional programs teach powerful analytical methods for using information to make decisions. These methods are important and need to be learned. But what happens when ...

Here is a four-step process to work with and through ambiguity to make careful, reasoned decisions. Editor's note: This story is available via the Harvard Business Review. It and other HBR stories are ...

As we’re battling a virus that scientists still don’t fully understand, watching the stock market sink, then soar, then sink again, and facing a contentious election, the future seems completely ...

Dr. Gary Klein is a cognitive psychologist and one of the world’s foremost experts on human decision making. I had the opportunity to talk with him recently about the present pandemic, and I asked him ...

Humans possess a remarkable balance between stability and flexibility, enabling them to quickly establish new plans and adjust goals even in the face of sudden changes. However, "model-free ...